After yesterday's article where we looked at how the standings would differ if the NHL adopted a three or five point per game system, user renstar asked us to look at the points percentages each team was getting based on the various systems to provide a bit better context. You ask, we deliver (at least for this). Note: the standings were not updated with the results of last night's action, so the Coyotes (in this chart) still do not have an overtime victory.
Remember, this all started after Carl proposed some changes to how NHL games end...so, if you are just catching up, start with Carl's article and the comments, then move on to yesterday's article and then continue here...don't worry, we'll wait for you.
Eastern Conference |
Current Points |
2-Points Percentage |
3-Point System |
3-Points Percentage |
5-Point System |
5-Points Percentage |
Difference Between 2 point and 5 point |
Philadelphia |
75 |
70.75% |
107 |
67.30% |
179 |
67.55% |
3.21% |
Tampa Bay |
71 |
64.55% |
92 |
55.76% |
155 |
56.36% |
8.18% |
Boston |
67 |
63.21% |
95 |
59.75% |
159 |
60.00% |
3.21% |
Pittsburgh |
72 |
65.45% |
100 |
60.61% |
166 |
60.36% |
5.09% |
Washington |
68 |
61.82% |
91 |
55.15% |
152 |
55.27% |
6.55% |
Montreal |
65 |
60.19% |
89 |
54.94% |
148 |
54.81% |
5.37% |
NY Rangers |
62 |
55.36% |
83 |
49.40% |
138 |
49.29% |
6.07% |
Carolina |
59 |
54.63% |
77 |
47.53% |
129 |
47.78% |
6.85% |
Atlanta |
58 |
51.79% |
73 |
43.45% |
124 |
44.29% |
7.50% |
Buffalo |
55 |
52.88% |
71 |
45.51% |
117 |
45.00% |
7.88% |
Florida |
52 |
49.06% |
68 |
42.77% |
116 |
43.77% |
5.28% |
Toronto |
51 |
47.22% |
69 |
42.59% |
114 |
42.22% |
5.00% |
New Jersey |
44 |
40.74% |
59 |
36.42% |
98 |
36.30% |
4.44% |
Ottawa |
42 |
38.89% |
59 |
36.42% |
96 |
35.56% |
3.33% |
NY Islanders |
41 |
38.68% |
52 |
32.70% |
89 |
33.58% |
5.09% |
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Western Conference |
Current Points |
2-Points Percentage |
3-Point System |
3-Points Percentage |
5-Point System |
5-Points Percentage |
|
Vancouver |
79 |
73.15% |
110 |
67.90% |
183 |
67.78% |
5.37% |
Detroit |
70 |
66.04% |
93 |
58.49% |
157 |
59.25% |
6.79% |
Dallas |
65 |
61.32% |
87 |
54.72% |
147 |
55.47% |
5.85% |
San Jose |
64 |
59.26% |
88 |
54.32% |
145 |
53.70% |
5.56% |
Nashville |
63 |
58.33% |
85 |
52.47% |
138 |
51.11% |
7.22% |
Phoenix |
63 |
57.27% |
88 |
53.33% |
143 |
52.00% |
5.27% |
Anaheim |
62 |
57.41% |
84 |
51.85% |
140 |
51.85% |
5.56% |
Calgary |
61 |
55.45% |
79 |
47.88% |
131 |
47.64% |
7.82% |
Los Angeles |
60 |
56.60% |
82 |
51.57% |
135 |
50.94% |
5.66% |
Minnesota |
59 |
56.73% |
81 |
51.92% |
138 |
53.08% |
3.65% |
Chicago |
58 |
54.72% |
80 |
50.31% |
133 |
50.19% |
4.53% |
Columbus |
57 |
53.77% |
75 |
47.17% |
125 |
47.17% |
6.60% |
St. Louis |
56 |
53.85% |
75 |
48.08% |
124 |
47.69% |
6.15% |
Colorado |
56 |
52.83% |
73 |
45.91% |
120 |
45.28% |
7.55% |
Edmonton |
40 |
37.74% |
53 |
33.33% |
91 |
34.34% |
3.40% |
The average team's difference between the two point and five point system is 5.67% (I am looking at the five point system for this because it gives a differing reward to the team depending on whether it went to overtime or the shootout). From there we can look at the biggest outliers after the jump.
As we thought, Tampa Bay and Calgary are benefiting the most from the current system with percentage changes of 8.18% and 7.82% respectively. The Coyotes are middle of the pack at 5.27%, slightly hurt by the current system. However, the five point system it wouldn't change their position in the Pacific division, although they would leapfrog Nashville, who is benefiting at 7.22%.
And while Vancouver continues to be the top team in points percentage at 67.78%, the Flyers close the gap fairly significantly based on their league low 3.21% difference (tied with Boston), aided by their 32 regulation wins out of 35 total wins this season.
Again, this is all a moot point because I've heard nothing that the league is even considering changes to the point system, but it is an interesting intellectual exercise, if nothing else.